Costa Rica vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
COR
0 - 0
COS
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COS
1 - 0
COX
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CIA
2 - 1
COS
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
COS
1 - 3
CIA
36%
29%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COS
0 - 0
SAO
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
3 - 2
NAV
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NAV
0 - 0
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
NAV
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NAV
2 - 0
AQU
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 2
NAV
23%
25%
53%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |