Copa Verde 1/16
Global 4-2
Costa Rica vs Gênus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
7DE
1 - 1
COS
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
COS
0 - 2
7DE
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
URS
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
OPE
2 - 1
COS
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
AQU
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
GEN
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GEN
3 - 2
GUA
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 1
RDA
25%
22%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
POR
2 - 3
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 1
CAR
28%
22%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |