Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Costa Rica vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
SIN
0 - 3
COS
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
COS
2 - 1
SIN
42%
26%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
GEN
2 - 2
COS
15%
20%
64%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
COS
2 - 0
GEN
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
7DE
1 - 1
COS
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CUI
0 - 0
CRI
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
CUI
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CUI
2 - 0
BOT
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
CUI
3 - 0
FFL
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 1
CUI
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |