Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 2-5
Costa Rica vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COS
0 - 0
SAO
37%
28%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
INT
1 - 0
COS
66%
22%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
COS
3 - 2
GRE
17%
27%
56%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
POA
0 - 1
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
COS
3 - 0
PAT
48%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
CIA
55%
26%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CIA
1 - 1
CAS
38%
30%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
CIA
1 - 2
NOV
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
CIA
43%
30%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ECA
1 - 0
CIA
28%
31%
42%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |