Costa Rica vs Aquidauanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AQU
1 - 0
COS
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
COX
1 - 0
COS
14%
18%
68%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
COS
10%
19%
72%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
COS
3 - 0
OPE
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 4
COS
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aquidauanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AQU
1 - 0
COS
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
IVI
5 - 0
AQU
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AQU
2 - 1
OAC
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 0
AQU
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AQU
2 - 2
AOU
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |