Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Lichinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TEX
0 - 2
COS
15%
27%
58%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
COS
1 - 2
DES
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
HCB
1 - 1
COS
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BBM
3 - 1
COS
57%
24%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviario Lichinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
BTF
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
3 - 1
TEX
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DES
3 - 1
LIC
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LIC
0 - 1
HCB
28%
29%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
LIC
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |