Costa do Sol vs Baía de Pemba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
BTF
1 - 1
COS
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 17 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LIC
0 - 1
COS
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
COS
4 - 1
TEX
77%
15%
7%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
COS
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
COS
2 - 2
HCB
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Baía de Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BDP
0 - 0
LIC
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
TEX
2 - 1
BDP
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BDP
1 - 1
DES
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
HCB
2 - 0
BDP
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BDP
1 - 0
FER
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |