Potros del Este vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
11º
10º
31
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potros del Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COS
2 - 2
AZU
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UME
2 - 0
COS
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
COS
1 - 0
CHO
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
COS
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
COS
0 - 2
ARA
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
IND
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
SMI
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 2
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 2
IND
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
CHO
52%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |