Potros del Este vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
12º
10º
24
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potros del Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
COS
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
COS
2 - 3
TAU
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 1
COS
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
COS
0 - 2
SFF
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 2
COS
18%
24%
58%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
AMA
31%
29%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
47%
29%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
UME
61%
25%
15%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHO
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |