Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Costa Calida vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ACF
0 - 0
CCS
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
CCS
38%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CCS
2 - 2
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
CCS
1 - 2
PUL
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 3
CCS
20%
23%
56%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ACF
0 - 0
CCS
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CIU
2 - 1
ACF
45%
27%
29%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ACF
2 - 1
CIU
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ACF
3 - 0
AVI
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 1
ACF
14%
24%
63%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |