Costa Ayala vs Firgas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COS
1 - 0
GAL
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
4 - 2
COS
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
UNV
2 - 1
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
MAS
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
COT
2 - 1
COS
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Firgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
FIR
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FIR
2 - 1
SIS
43%
23%
35%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
ARU
1 - 2
FIR
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FIR
2 - 1
ART
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
UCB
3 - 0
FIR
44%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |