Cosmos vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 1
COS
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TPE
4 - 0
COS
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
COS
5 - 1
SGI
73%
16%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
COS
2 - 0
VIR
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FAE
1 - 1
COS
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TPE
1 - 0
VIR
81%
14%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
7 - 1
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
COS
2 - 0
VIR
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 3
CAI
37%
24%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FAE
5 - 0
VIR
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |