Cosmos vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FAE
1 - 1
COS
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
CAI
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 1
COS
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
COS
0 - 2
TPE
16%
22%
63%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SGI
0 - 1
COS
18%
20%
63%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 3
CAI
37%
24%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FAE
5 - 0
VIR
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 4
TPE
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SGI
0 - 0
VIR
35%
22%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 4
JUV
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |