Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SGI
1 - 2
COS
37%
23%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
LIB
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 2
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 4
TFI
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAI
4 - 1
TFI
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TFI
1 - 0
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TFI
2 - 2
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TPE
0 - 1
TFI
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |