Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
COS
5 - 2
FAE
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
COS
3 - 1
FIO
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
COS
0 - 1
PEN
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
COS
0 - 4
FAE
59%
22%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 0
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 1
TFI
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
TFI
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 2
TFI
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 0
TFI
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |