Cosmos vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
36%
23%
42%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
COS
4 - 1
DOM
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
SUT
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 0
COS
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
4 - 1
SGI
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 1
TFI
13%
22%
65%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SGI
3 - 1
SMA
90%
7%
3%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SGI
1 - 3
LIB
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 0
SGI
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |