Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
11.1%
3.6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
COS
0 - 1
VIR
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 5
COS
7%
18%
75%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COS
0 - 1
MUR
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 4
COS
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 1
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TPE
0 - 0
PEN
85%
12%
4%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
FOL
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
PEN
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +2 |