Cosmos vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 2
COS
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TPE
2 - 3
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
TFI
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
COS
5 - 2
FAE
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
TFI
2 - 0
MUR
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 2
SGI
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAI
3 - 0
MUR
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |