Cosmos vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
COS
0 - 3
FAE
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
COS
2 - 0
FAE
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 2
COS
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 5
MUR
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
MUR
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 2
MUR
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 4
MUR
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |