Cosmos vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
COS
0 - 2
JUV
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FIO
2 - 1
COS
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 0
COS
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
COS
0 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
COS
3 - 2
VIR
33%
24%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DOM
1 - 0
MUR
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
2 - 2
JUV
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 0
TPE
45%
24%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 3
TFI
45%
24%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 3
JUV
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |