Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
COS
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
COS
6 - 2
PEN
88%
9%
2%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 5
COS
15%
23%
61%
|
67 | 32 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
JUV
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
TFI
13%
23%
65%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 1
LIB
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
TPE
10%
18%
73%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 3
LIB
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SGI
2 - 1
LIB
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |