Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
FAE
0 - 3
COS
18%
23%
58%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COS
4 - 1
FAE
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 2
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COS
5 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
COS
5 - 1
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
TFI
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
TFI
28%
27%
46%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SGI
1 - 3
LIB
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 7
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |