Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COS
0 - 1
CAI
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
DOM
1 - 2
COS
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COS
1 - 3
MUR
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
TPE
2 - 0
COS
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 4
LIB
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
TPE
4 - 6
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
PEN
43%
29%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |