Cosmos vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TPE
1 - 0
COS
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
47%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 0
COS
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
COS
9 - 0
CAI
86%
11%
3%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
COS
4 - 2
FIO
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
TFI
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
JUV
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
FIO
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 1
PEN
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 0
JUV
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |