Cosmos vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
54%
23%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
FAE
2 - 1
COS
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 3
COS
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 0
COS
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
FAE
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TFI
3 - 2
JUV
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
CAI
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 2
PEN
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |