Cosmos vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
COS
5 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 0
COS
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAI
3 - 3
COS
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 1
JUV
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
TPE
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
JUV
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |