Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
59.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
COS
1 - 1
MUR
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COS
1 - 6
VIR
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
COS
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TPE
2 - 2
COS
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 5
FOL
22%
26%
53%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TFI
1 - 2
FOL
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 0
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
4 - 1
SGI
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 4
FOL
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |