Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
COS
1 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
FAE
0 - 4
COS
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COS
1 - 3
MUR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
COS
2 - 1
PEN
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FAE
2 - 2
COS
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 2
JUV
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 4
TPE
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FIO
3 - 1
FOL
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
VIR
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |