Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
68.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
DOM
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
35%
23%
42%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COS
0 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
COS
3 - 0
CAI
48%
23%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FAE
1 - 2
COS
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FIO
3 - 0
FAE
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 1
LIB
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 1
FIO
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 4
FIO
12%
18%
70%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
7 - 2
CAI
84%
11%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |