Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
COS
0 - 4
PEN
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
COS
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
COS
0 - 1
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
TPE
1 - 0
COS
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 1
TPE
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 1
FAE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 1
FIO
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 2
FIO
13%
19%
68%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
FIO
16%
22%
63%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |