Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
COS
0 - 1
PEN
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
COS
0 - 4
FAE
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
COS
3 - 1
CAI
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 4
FIO
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 0
FIO
23%
21%
56%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
4 - 3
CAI
78%
16%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 2
FIO
28%
24%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |