Cosmos vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TPE
4 - 1
COS
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
COS
4 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
22%
23%
56%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
COS
0 - 0
PEN
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
TPE
4 - 2
COS
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 1
FIO
74%
17%
8%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
FAE
2 - 0
FIO
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 0
FIO
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 5
TFI
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |