Cosmos vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
COS
0 - 1
MUR
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 2
COS
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TPE
2 - 3
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
TFI
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
5 - 3
FIO
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 3
CAI
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
FAE
1 - 0
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 1
SGI
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 3
FIO
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |