Cosmos vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 3
COS
23%
24%
54%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 1
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 1
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 2
FIO
15%
18%
67%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 2
TFI
25%
25%
49%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAI
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |