Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COS
2 - 1
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COS
3 - 0
VIR
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 5
COS
13%
20%
67%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
COS
4 - 0
SMA
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 1
FIO
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 1
FAE
43%
23%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FAE
2 - 0
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
FAE
9%
13%
77%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 2
FAE
33%
24%
44%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |