Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 0
COS
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COS
0 - 1
CAI
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
DOM
1 - 2
COS
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COS
1 - 3
MUR
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
FAE
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 2
TFI
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FAE
2 - 1
TFI
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
SGI
3 - 0
FAE
29%
24%
48%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
FAE
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |