Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
COS
3 - 1
CAI
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SGI
4 - 4
COS
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 3
COS
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAE
1 - 1
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
FAE
0 - 4
TPE
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 1
FAE
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FAE
2 - 1
MUR
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 3
FAE
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |