Cosmos Nowotaniec vs Jarosław analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarosław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 3
ENE
11%
21%
69%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 2
ASW
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
OPR
0 - 4
JAR
11%
20%
69%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 0
PIA
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LUB
0 - 1
JAR
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |