CAF Champions Last 16
Global 1-4
Cosmos de Bafia vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos de Bafia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COS
1 - 0
TON
41%
28%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
LIO
2 - 1
COS
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
COS
3 - 0
KCC
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
LES
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
FOV
3 - 1
COS
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GAB
2 - 0
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAB
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
USM
1 - 2
ESP
44%
29%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MEN
1 - 3
ESP
15%
21%
65%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 0
JSK
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |