COSFA vs Ajesaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
COSFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FAN
2 - 0
COA
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
COA
0 - 1
FAN
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
COA
0 - 0
FAN
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 0
COA
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
COA
0 - 0
MMA
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajesaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AJE
1 - 3
ASS
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SFJ
3 - 1
AJE
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
AJE
1 - 3
SFJ
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CFF
1 - 3
AJE
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AJE
2 - 2
CFF
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |