Alagoano Inicial Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Coruripe vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
COR
1 - 4
CSE
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
COR
1 - 2
ASA
26%
23%
50%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 3
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
COR
44%
25%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASA
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CDV
1 - 3
SAN
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
CSE
1 - 1
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
COR
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |