Corumbaense vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
62%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corumbaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
OAC
0 - 2
COR
8%
14%
79%
|
46 | 6 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
COR
4 - 1
COS
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 1
COR
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
OPE
2 - 0
COR
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
IPO
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LUV
3 - 0
JAC
87%
10%
3%
|
62 | 7 | 55 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LUV
3 - 0
SIN
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CUI
1 - 0
LUV
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LUV
1 - 0
OPE
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
JEC
4 - 2
LUV
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |