Coruchense vs União da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
10º
9º
27
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 80% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coruchense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
COR
60%
25%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
COR
4 - 0
ALC
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 0
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
PER
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
SAB
59%
19%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
União da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDA
0 - 1
SIN
32%
26%
41%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
UDA
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 1
BEN
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDR
1 - 2
UDA
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 2
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |