Coruchense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
10º
9º
40
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coruchense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UDR
2 - 3
COR
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COR
0 - 0
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
COR
2 - 2
1DE
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
UDA
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 1
SIN
38%
28%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
USA
1 - 1
BEN
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
SAB
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UDR
1 - 1
BEN
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |