Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 0-2
Internacional de Palmira vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional de Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
COR
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
ENV
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
COR
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 3
TOL
25%
29%
46%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
FOR
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
QUI
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
RSC
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 1
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
6 - 2
ORS
72%
19%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |