Internacional de Palmira vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional de Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
COR
3 - 1
HUI
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 3
COR
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
COR
2 - 0
BJC
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ORS
1 - 2
COR
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
COR
0 - 0
QUI
35%
28%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LEO
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
HUI
3 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
BOG
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAR
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |