Internacional de Palmira vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional de Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 2
COR
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
COR
1 - 2
UNI
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
COR
2 - 2
PER
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RSC
2 - 2
COR
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
COR
3 - 3
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
FOR
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 1
FOR
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
TFC
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 0
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 4
RIO
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |