Internacional de Palmira vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional de Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
COR
0 - 0
CEN
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RSC
3 - 1
COR
40%
30%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
PAS
2 - 2
COR
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
COR
3 - 0
AFC
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
FOR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
ALI
52%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
5 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
PAS
14%
25%
62%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
REA
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |