Correggese vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 5
COR
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SDT
1 - 1
COR
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
PIA
65%
21%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
COR
10%
15%
75%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 2
COR
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
PIA
26%
26%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MEZ
1 - 0
VIR
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 0
SDT
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 5
LEG
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |