Correggese vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 2
COR
14%
20%
66%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
COR
2 - 0
ACS
77%
16%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RIB
1 - 1
COR
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
CAS
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DEL
5 - 2
COR
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MEZ
6 - 2
PIA
35%
26%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MEZ
2 - 4
FIO
56%
24%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
URI
1 - 1
MEZ
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MEZ
1 - 0
ACS
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RIB
0 - 0
MEZ
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |